Financial
Modelling

Financial
Modelling

Our dynamic, bottom-up approach begins with a detailed understanding of how each asset, service and operational requirement contributes to the wider development. By building the model from the ground up, we provide clear, evidence-based insights into costs, responsibilities and performance.

Our dynamic, bottom-up approach begins with a detailed understanding of how each asset, service and operational requirement contributes to the wider development.

Financial modelling that turns complex developments into clear decisions.

Financial modelling that turns complex developments into clear decisions.

Financial modelling that turns complex developments into clear decisions.

Cost modelling and financial modelling for cities, communities and complex mixed-use developments.

Cost modelling and financial modelling for cities, communities and complex mixed-use developments.

By connecting asset data, operational requirements, phasing and service levels, our cost models and financial models provide a clear view of OPEX, CAPEX, service charges and long-term funding needs. They evolve with the development so clients can test scenarios, manage risk and decide with confidence from early planning to steady-state operation.

By connecting asset data, operational requirements, phasing and service levels, our cost models and financial models provide a clear view of OPEX, CAPEX, service charges and long-term funding needs. They evolve with the development so clients can test scenarios, manage risk and decide with confidence from early planning to steady-state operation.

Speak to our team

OPEX & CAPEX Modelling

Build detailed, bottom-up forecasts based on assets, service requirements, phasing and operational strategy.

Scenario & Sensitivity Analysis

Test development assumptions, service levels and delivery strategies to understand risk and improve financial outcomes.

Service Charge Strategy

Establish transparent and equitable charging structures across plots, assets, precincts and stakeholder groups.

Aerial rendering of a large mixed-use development used for operational cost modelling

Two Models,

One Evidence

Base

Two Models,

One Evidence

Base

An operational cost model and a feasibility cost model, built on the same asset data and assumptions, so operating cost and investment case always agree

Operational

Cost Model

Operational

Cost Model

Operational

Cost Model

What the asset will cost to run, recover and renew from first budget to steady-state.

01

Operational Costing

Bottom-up OPEX models built from asset data, service scopes and phasing, giving developers a defensible view of annual operating cost long before handover and first budget setting.

02

Reserve Fund Study

Forecasts the replacement and renewal of every major asset over its life, sizing reserve contributions so future capital works are funded rather than deferred.

03

Cost Apportionment

Allocates shared cost fairly across plots, precincts, uses and stakeholders, with clear apportionment keys that owners, operators and regulators can interrogate.

04

Life Cycle Costing

Whole-life cost modelling across 30 to 50 year horizons, comparing design and procurement options on total cost of ownership rather than capital cost alone.

05

CAPEX Recovery

Structures the recovery of infrastructure and public realm capital expenditure, showing how substantial CAPEX can be distributed efficiently and equitably between stakeholders.

06

Developer Cost Risks

Identifies where design, phasing and adoption decisions create unfunded operating cost, quantifying the exposure so risk can be mitigated before it becomes a liability.

Feasibility

Model

Feasibility

Model

Whether the development stacks up cashflow, returns and the capital needed to close the gap.

01

Cashflow Forecasting &

Analysis

Phased cashflow models covering development, mobilisation and steady-state operation, showing funding requirements and timing across the full asset lifecycle.

02

Profit & Loss Forecasting

Operating profit and loss forecasts by entity, phase and tenure type, connecting revenue, service charge recovery and operating cost into a single consolidated view.

03

Financial & Investor Metrics

The metrics investors and boards rely on (IRR, NPV, payback and yield) generated from the same model that drives the operational assumptions.

04

Break-Even Analysis

Establishes the occupancy, tariff and cost levels at which the asset covers its operating obligations, defining the margin available for commercial decision-making.

05

Financial Gap Analysis

& Total Capital Required

Quantifies the gap between recoverable income and true operating cost, and the total capital required to bridge it across the development programme.

06

Sensitivity & Scenario Analysis

Stress-tests assumptions on phasing, inflation, occupancy and service levels, so clients can test scenarios, manage risk and adjust as the development evolves.

Applied at

World-Class Scale.

Applied at

World-Class Scale.

Strategic and operational advisory, delivered together across city-scale developments.

Masterplan view of a city-scale development in a mountainous landscape

Giga-Project

Qiddiya

Qiddiya is a giga-project being developed in the northwestern region of Saudi Arabia, about 40 kilometres from Riyadh. It is envisioned as a global destination for entertainment, sports, and the arts, offering immersive experiences.

Urban district with high-rise buildings and active public realm

Mega-Project

Rua-Al-Haram

Rua Al Haram is a Saudi master developer owned by the Public Investment Fund (PIF). It is set up to upgrade the area around Al-Masjid Al-Haram in Makkah. The main goal is to improve infrastructure, add modern hospitality, and support Saudi Vision 2030 targets of welcoming 30 million pilgrims.

Waterfront residential towers and hospitality development at sunset

Complex Plot

Janu

Set along the shores of Al Marjan Island, Janu Al Marjan Island introduces a bold new destination where contemporary design meets vibrant waterfront living. Envisioned by SCDA Architects, the hotel and its collection of branded residences bring Janu’s fresh perspective to one of the United Arab Emirates’ most exciting emerging emirates, blending architectural clarity with social spaces by the water.

Need cost modelling or financial modelling for a complex development?

Need cost modelling or financial modelling for a complex development?

Speak with GJC about operational cost modelling, financial modelling, OPEX and CAPEX forecasting, service charge calculations, lifecycle costing and scenario analysis across Saudi Arabia and the UAE.